Although there are plenty of traders out there telling you that Football games are easy to trade or bet on, if you have tried it, you know they are not as simple as they would like you to believe.
The problem with Betting on football is that you are trying to play the market at its own game.
Betfair prices are known to be very efficient which means if the price is 2.00 then you have a 50% chance of winning and if you make enough bets at 2.00 then you will lose because of the over-round (stops you betting on all outcomes) & commission.
So the way people tend to beat football is to “Trade” the game.
This means picking a match, deciding on your entry point and then getting out before the match finishes or when you hit your stop profit or stop loss.
The problem is that most people who show you these ideas start with one stumbling block for most punters…
“You have to research your game beforehand”
Now don’t get me wrong I am all for research...
... but the question is...
...can I do it better than everyone who has already contributed to setting the price for the match on Betfair?
If Betfair's prices are efficient and it sets a team's price to win at 1.45 then isn’t that telling us this team has around a 70% chance of winning?
What further research can I do to change that?
"What, research how many goals you think are going to be scored?"
We normally see things like:
“Look at the history of the two teams and how often they played against each other etc”.
Can I not just go to the Correct score market or the Over-goals market and divide 100 by the current price to get a feel for how many goals may be scored?
The real truth is that no matter how much research anyone does it is “Best Guess” anyway.
Yes over time Betfair does well at “Best guessing” markets but for each individual market, anything can happen, which is why Trading is often the better choice.
Once we understand this then we can decide which markets to trade on.
Many of the markets on Football are tradeable...
...but many also expire because of a goal or halftime.
So trading these markets comes with the risk of losing your whole stake or trading for very small amounts.
That’s why you should consider trading the “Match Odds” markets.
This market has 3 outcomes.
1. Home Team win
2. Away Team Win
3. It’s a draw.
Even when there are goals you make good gains or you can control your losses for a low liability trade out.
To be honest you don’t really care about the outcome because generally, you trade these markets in the first half.
But why these markets?
Well, my name is Malcolm and if you don’t know me I have been creating software and methods for the betting market for over 20 years.
In that time I have mostly avoided football because, to be honest, I don’t like it much.
Yeah, I know that is rare for a guy to admit and considering my family all love it, it is a bit strange.
So when I started looking at football again it had to be simple and based on statistics…
…because you were not going to get me to study the past performance of teams no matter how much you paid me.
Although I have mostly avoided football because I am a geek...
... I do have my own results database that covers quite a few years of results so I used this as my starting point.
After studying the database and formulating a couple of ideas I started to try trading on the main markets.
At first, it was just about testing but as the results got to over 100 matched bets I had really dialled in a formula for trading on the Match Odds market.
* Found the best matches to use with specific prices.
* Identified what teams to select and which ones to avoid.
* Narrowed down the best time to complete the trade.
I have put all this information into a simple-to-read PDF and called it "The First Half Football Trading Method" Along with an amazing bonus.
In The First Half Football Trading Method PDF, I have given you.
* The full Method and how to quickly find matches in the "Sweet Spot".
* How to Lay to Back and why we use this method.
* What happens if you don't trade and how the statistics could still be on your side?
* The best growth method.
* Liquidity and what to look for.
* Types of matches to watch for.
* Auto Trading.
* Videos showing the method
* NEW! Ai Predictor sheet (Easy copy and paste) with uncanny predictions (Use with just about any FREE AI program like chatGPT or plexity ai).
So here is the deal.
I would normally sell a product like this between £67 and £97...
...But for the moment it is available for the a "One Off" payment today for just £57
"Why is the price so low" you ask?
Look this is Football, there are hundreds of people out there trying to sell you all sorts of ideas and all different prices many of them in the £100s.
I never look at anyone else's method, so I don't know how unique mine is.
All I can tell you is that it has come from my own research and live betting and so far it has worked fine for me.
I am not telling you it will make a million overnight but there is no reason why it shouldn't work for you.
If you know me, you also know that I don't force anyone into buying anything.
I think the current price of £57 is fair considering it has the full PDF method, Videos and the AI script which has taken quite a bit of time to create the prompt.
