If you have had anything to do with trading football, then you have probably heard about the Over X goal markets.

These range from Over 0.5 Goals, where at least 1 goal must be scored to win...

Right up to over 8.5 goals, 9 goals must be scored to win.

It doesn't matter which team score the goal...


...to win, you just want goals!


Another fact you may have heard is that 92% of football matches across the world end with at least 1 goal being scored.

That means if you back the Over 0.5 Goals market, then there is only an 8% chance of losing the bet.

Here is the problem...


...the market knows this and generally only offers you 1.05 (5% of your stake) to 1.10 (10% of your stake) for taking a chance that a goal will be scored.

So what do people do?

They wait for a 0-0 match at half-time, where they will get a better price.

Using the idea that if the goal was not scored in the first half, then there is still a good chance that one will be scored in the second half.

Sounds reasonable...Doesn't it?

It may sound reasonable, but I am sorry to say the logic is flawed.

For every minute a match is played, the chances of a goal being scored decrease.

So by the time we get to half time, we are no longer talking about a 92% chance of winning...


...and if a goal is not scored by the 60th minute, the chances are 40% or less.


The problem with a 0-0 match at half time is that this is probably a tight game with both teams showing good defence, which may continue into the second half.


Statistically, out of all of the possible half-time scores, 0-0 is the worst you can play on the Over X goal markets.

If you back them, the Over X Goal markets also have another couple of issues.

Firstly, they are a win-or-lose market, which means you win if a goal goes in but you lose your whole stake if a goal doesn't...


...And the second issue is that Betfair prices are considered accurate, which means that over time, you can not make money.

 
With all that said, there is a way you can make the Over X goal markets work.

So, where did the idea come from?

By accident, actually.

My history is in horse racing, so when I got involved in football, I didn't really have a clue where to start.

The thing is, I love statistics, so straight away I began to gather information about different football markets and how to potentially win on them.

This eventually led me to the Over X Goal markets.

The accident happened a couple of months ago when I discovered some statistics that I wasn't expecting, and I started testing the idea on one of the Over X Goal markets.

Although I was winning, I still couldn't completely understand why...


...so I spent the next few weeks gathering all the data I could about goal scoring in football.

In a moment, I am going to tell you how you can get your hands on this information...


...But after gathering all the statistics and analysing all the information, I realised I had actually been winning on the wrong market and there was a much better Over X Goal market to use.

And that's what I want to share with you.

The reasoning behind the chosen market, when to enter and how to exit...


...but with an extensive explanation of all the statistics that prove this market is one of the best to use.

To complete the strategy, I have written a specifically crafted AI prompt that will help you confirm the choice of the market.

It's all very simple and easy to use.

The AI prompt can be used with Chatgpt, Perplexity, Deepseek and other AI versions.

Inside your learn...

1) The best market to use and when to enter that market.
2) The best exit strategy and when to use it.

3) To know when the next goal is likely to be scored.

4) The 4 main statistics you need that can help you predict goals
5) A powerful AI script that will help confirm your choice

And it's all here in the "Smart Goal Strategy".  

But this Strategy is so much more.

In this extensive strategy guide, you will also find...

1) 10 different ways you can look at a football match that point to this strategy.
2) The 25-minute rule and why it can be essential for goals.
3) What to do about Red Cards, should you be scared of them?
4) Opta points and how you can use them to predict goals.
5) The best way to use xG and when to use it.
6) What the "Dixon / Coles" method is and how to use it.
7) "Football is a game of two halves" and how you can use that information to predict goals.
8) 6 Extra Methods to use on the Over X Markets.

Over 20 different subjects are discussed in this comprehensive guide that will help give you a complete understanding of the Over X goal markets.

Each section builds on the next (or backs it up) so that the reason we end up on the final strategy is very clear.

But although this appears to be the best option, the statistics point to other potentially profitable strategies...

...So I have included another 6 for you.

These include:

The Hybrid Strategy.
The 40% chance strategy.
The 75% strategy

And another 3 on top.

All of these are based on statistics you will find in the Smart Goal Strategy guide.

48 pages (not including the AI prompt) of statististics that not only backs up the main strategies but also gives you important information that you can use on other Over X and Under X goal markets.

My readers of my daily email know this has taken me weeks to put together to make it the Ultimate Guide to the Over X Goal markets.

So, how can you get your hands on it?

There is a sports company out there that normally charges £250.00 or more for their Football methods and the first thing you are told to do when you purchase them is "Do your research". 

Although I agree that research is a good thing, trawling through sites trying to get the data you need to make a decision on a method you have no experience of using doesn't sound that much fun.

In the Smart Goal strategy, I have given you a simple AI Prompt that you can use with any FREE AI like ChatGPT,  Perplexity or even Copilot or Deepseek.

This not only saves you a lot of work, but the output from the prompt tells you exactly what you need to know, to make a decision whether to use the match or not.

But if you don't want to do the research, I have given you the 4 main in-play statistics that are best to use with these strategies.

Saving you even more time.

Also, the strategies I give you can be run automatically, without statistics, and I show you how that is possible.

So, to recap.


You get today.

1)The full Smart Goal Strategy guide showing you some amazing goal and match statistics that help clarify which Over x goal markets to use.
2) An AI Prompt (and how to use it video) that makes it simple to get the information about the match and the chances of goals.
3) 6 different Over X goal strategies that are easy to understand and use.

No, I am not going to charge you £250 today, even though I think the strategies I am going to give you are worth it.

But I do want some return for not only the hours I have put into creating this product, but for the hours I am going to spend updating as I get more tests running and come up with new methods.

Yes, this strategy guide will be updated from time to time (As most of my products are).

So, for a limited time only,  you can get the full strategy guide for
                                            just £97.00
          (50 copies only available)

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There are no guarantees to whether they will win or not.

All prices are based on Betfair BSP. All results are Betfair BSP minus the standard 5% commission (Which may different to your own which will depend on your agreement with Betfair).

There will also be days where there are "No Selections".

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READ THIS - IT[A]S IMPORTANT: Disclaimer: Online Betting is not appropriate for everyone. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with betting. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using the information on this website will generate profits or ensure freedom from losses. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular betting program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical betting does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical betting record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual betting. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular betting program in spite of betting losses are material points which can also adversely affect betting results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific betting program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual betting results.



HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL BETTING. ALSO,SINCE THE BETS HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVERCOMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED BETTING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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FAQ and information.


Q. Do I need anything special to use this strategy?

A. No not at all. Although I use Betfair for all my trading and betting, some bookies even offer prices on the Over x markets.
You can use the free versions of AI.

Q. Are you giving me daily tips?

A. No, this is not a tipping service. The Smart Goal Strategy teaches you how to find the selections either on your own or using the AI prompt to analyse the match.

Q. How much can I make?

A. The Smart Goal strategy guide shows you the markets to choose and the best entry points and exit points in as much detail as possible. I can not tell you how much you can make because I have no idea how much time you have to bet daily, your stake sizes or how many matches there will be on any one day available to bet on.
I have done everything I can to show you the best markets the statistics point to and the best ways to enter and exit these markets, as well as giving you 6 further strategies to use on the markets.



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While we strive to deliver the highest quality service, information, much like other investments, this carries no assurance, and historical outcomes do not guarantee future performance. What we do guarantee is that every customer will receive the full scope of the service they have purchased to the best of our ability. For any merchandise or products ordered through Direct Mail or online, any applicable warranty or guarantee will be detailed within the promotional materials or product description. All advertising—including that for books, publications, or systems—will clearly outline the terms and conditions governing refunds.